Berliner Boersenzeitung - Hong Kong, Shanghai fluctuate on China worries as other markets mixed

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Hong Kong, Shanghai fluctuate on China worries as other markets mixed
Hong Kong, Shanghai fluctuate on China worries as other markets mixed / Photo: DALE DE LA REY - AFP

Hong Kong, Shanghai fluctuate on China worries as other markets mixed

Hong Kong and Shanghai stocks saw big swings Tuesday following the previous day's rout after Xi Jinping tightened his grip on power in China, while other markets fought to maintain a rally fuelled by hopes of a less hawkish Federal Reserve.

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Optimism about upcoming corporate earnings was providing some support, with Wall Street chalking up another strong day ahead of reports this week from big-name firms including Apple, Amazon and Microsoft.

Investors were keeping a wary eye on developments in China after Xi at the weekend was handed another five year term as leader and gave top jobs to a number of loyalists who back his strict zero-Covid strategy.

The policy of lockdowns and other strict measures has been a major cause of the country's economic woes and the prospect of more upheaval has sent chills through trading floors.

The uncertainty resulted in a drop of more than six percent in Hong Kong on Monday, with tech firms -- which have been hardest hit by Xi's crackdown on a range of private-sector companies -- taking the brunt of the pain.

The selling spread to New York later in the day, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index of 65 Chinese stocks diving 14 percent -- its biggest fall on record -- wiping more than $90 billion off their market value.

Any hopes for a big bounce from bargain-buying on Tuesday were short-lived with wild fluctuations in the city seeing the Hang Seng Index swing from gains to losses in a three percent band.

Shanghai struggled to get out of negative territory, while the onshore yuan sank to its weakest level since 2007 and the offshore yuan hit a record low.

"We're certainly staying away from the Chinese market right now because the political scene is not favourable," Laila Pence, of Pence Wealth Management, told Bloomberg TV.

"There's a lot less risk in the US and just as much upside."

The gloomy mood in China cast a shadow over an largely positive start to the week elsewhere as investors were cheered by a report suggesting the Fed could discuss at next week's policy meeting the possibility of slowing down its pace of interest rate hikes.

The bank's policy of ramping up borrowing costs to fight decades-high inflation has hammered global markets this year as investors worry that they will send the economy into recession.

"Investors are getting more confident that inflation will soften as the consumer rethinks massive purchases," said OANDA's Edward Moya.

"Fed rate hike expectations will remain volatile, but expectations are growing that a weaker economy will let the Fed pause their tightening after the February policy meeting."

Tokyo, Sydney, Singapore, Wellington, Manila and Bangkok all rose, though Seoul, Taipei, Mumbai and Jakarta fell.

Focus is now on the release of earnings, with a sense of hope that the results will not be as bad as feared.

A fifth of S&P 500 companies have so far released their figures, with more than half beating expectations, according to Bloomberg News.

The yen hovered around 149 to the dollar after rallying Friday and Monday, with speculation swirling that Japanese authorities had intervened to support the struggling currency.

However, there are expectations it will continue to drop owing to the divergence between the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy and the Fed's tightening.

The pound was also sitting around $1.13 as the choice of former chancellor Rishi Sunak as Britain's next prime minister provided a sense of stability after weeks of uncertainty caused by former leader Liz Truss's controversial debt-fuelled budget.

London opened lower ahead of Sunak becoming Britain's third premier in less than two months with a full in-tray including a cost-of-living crisis, boosting the economy and uniting his fractured Conservative party. Paris and Frankfurt rose.

- Key figures around 0720 GMT -

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 1.0 percent at 27,250.28 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.1 percent at 15,170.83

Shanghai - Composite: FLAT at 2,976.28 (close)

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.1 percent at 7,007.70

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.1298 from $1.1281 on Monday

Dollar/yen: UP at 148.96 yen from 148.95 yen

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $0.9860 from $0.9876

Euro/pound: DOWN at 87.31 pence from 87.56 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.2 percent at $84.71 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.1 percent at $93.32 per barrel

New York - Dow: UP 1.3 percent at 31,499.62 (close)

(Y.Berger--BBZ)